Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.188757 0.210435 0.232879 0.257797 0.284633 0.312610 0.343928
2025-01-05 0.159423 0.189020 0.221007 0.257966 0.299305 0.343936 0.395580
2025-01-12 0.137765 0.172468 0.211401 0.257930 0.311625 0.371256 0.442084
2025-01-19 0.119903 0.157891 0.201996 0.256323 0.320759 0.394075 0.483101
2025-01-26 0.107278 0.147953 0.196663 0.258289 0.333140 0.420084 0.527637
2025-02-02 0.099543 0.143052 0.196591 0.265909 0.351817 0.453346 0.580880
2025-02-09 0.090160 0.135079 0.191881 0.267112 0.362189 0.476430 0.622029
2025-02-16 0.083081 0.129400 0.189463 0.270666 0.375100 0.502431 0.666787
2025-02-23 0.079146 0.127533 0.191658 0.279892 0.395054 0.537190 0.722592
2025-03-02 0.071424 0.119736 0.185391 0.277554 0.399852 0.552859 0.754763
2025-03-09 0.065428 0.113874 0.181278 0.277659 0.407499 0.571944 0.791203
2025-03-16 0.059531 0.107653 0.176217 0.276074 0.412613 0.587618 0.823310
2025-03-23 0.055914 0.104782 0.175953 0.281356 0.427417 0.616632 0.873734
2025-03-30 0.051391 0.100127 0.172807 0.282379 0.436372 0.638096 0.914730
2025-04-06 0.047137 0.095526 0.169421 0.282800 0.444352 0.658267 0.954230
2025-04-13 0.042815 0.090423 0.164933 0.281330 0.449502 0.674600 0.988790
2025-04-20 0.039778 0.087213 0.163109 0.283573 0.459754 0.697792 1.032583
2025-04-27 0.038336 0.086647 0.165332 0.291811 0.478575 0.732774 1.092420
2025-05-04 0.035531 0.083398 0.163078 0.293141 0.487433 0.754214 1.134335
2025-05-11 0.033460 0.081301 0.162532 0.296970 0.499874 0.780652 1.183208
2025-05-18 0.032696 0.081595 0.165889 0.306861 0.521277 0.819712 1.249564
2025-05-25 0.029724 0.077363 0.161451 0.304365 0.524325 0.833194 1.281198
2025-06-01 0.027449 0.074287 0.158775 0.304481 0.531136 0.851923 1.320114